Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000158 0.000175 0.000193 0.000214 0.000237 0.000263 0.000292
2025-09-07 0.000127 0.000152 0.000180 0.000215 0.000258 0.000310 0.000375
2025-09-14 0.000110 0.000138 0.000173 0.000220 0.000280 0.000357 0.000464
2025-09-21 0.000095 0.000124 0.000162 0.000216 0.000289 0.000387 0.000531
2025-09-28 0.000082 0.000111 0.000150 0.000207 0.000289 0.000405 0.000582
2025-10-05 0.000075 0.000105 0.000147 0.000210 0.000305 0.000444 0.000668
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.000101 0.000146 0.000215 0.000324 0.000489 0.000769
2025-10-19 0.000064 0.000094 0.000139 0.000212 0.000329 0.000514 0.000840
2025-10-26 0.000060 0.000091 0.000137 0.000215 0.000343 0.000555 0.000941
2025-11-02 0.000055 0.000086 0.000132 0.000212 0.000349 0.000581 0.001021
2025-11-09 0.000052 0.000082 0.000129 0.000212 0.000358 0.000614 0.001117
2025-11-16 0.000048 0.000077 0.000125 0.000210 0.000363 0.000640 0.001201
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000072 0.000118 0.000203 0.000360 0.000652 0.001263
2025-11-30 0.000041 0.000069 0.000116 0.000203 0.000371 0.000691 0.001388
2025-12-07 0.000040 0.000067 0.000115 0.000207 0.000389 0.000747 0.001556
2025-12-14 0.000037 0.000063 0.000111 0.000203 0.000391 0.000771 0.001658
2025-12-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000104 0.000196 0.000384 0.000775 0.001717
2025-12-28 0.000032 0.000057 0.000104 0.000198 0.000398 0.000827 0.001896
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000057 0.000104 0.000203 0.000418 0.000894 0.002120
2026-01-11 0.000029 0.000054 0.000101 0.000200 0.000421 0.000920 0.002249
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000053 0.000100 0.000203 0.000436 0.000978 0.002469
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000051 0.000097 0.000200 0.000440 0.001010 0.002624
2026-02-01 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000200 0.000449 0.001055 0.002824